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Weekly Commentary

Weekly Commentary


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Something Stirring in Singapore? - July 21, 2016

Arguments are common among economists. It’s often said, ‘two economists, three opinions.’ The mix of economic stagnation, bizarre one-off events, geopolitical turmoil and widespread frustration over the past several years has served up a lot more stuff than normal to battle about. But it gets really complicated when the data themselves declare force majeure and argue with each other. To make matters worse, at the moment it’s that elite class of data, the leading indicators, the ones with foresight, that are battling it out. If even they can’t agree, then what can we possibly expect analysts to do?

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Peter G. HallPeter G. Hall
Vice-President and Chief Economist

Peter Hall joined Export Development Canada (EDC) in November 2004. With over 25 years of experience in economic analysis and forecasting, Mr. Hall is responsible for overseeing EDC's economic analysis, country risk assessment and corporate research groups. In addition to preparing strategic advice for senior management at EDC, Mr. Hall is a featured speaker at conferences, international roundtables and policy fora, and regularly appears in television, radio and print media commenting on the world economy and Canadian international trade issues. He produces a widely circulated print and video weekly commentary covering an eclectic range of current global economic issues.

Prior to joining EDC, Mr. Hall directed the economic forecasting activities of the Conference Board of Canada. Mr. Hall has served as president of both the Canadian Association for Business Economics, a 600-member national association of professional economists, and its largest local chapter, the Ottawa Economics Association. He has also been a volunteer board and committee member for two Ottawa area private schools. Mr. Hall has degrees in economics from both Carleton University and the University of Toronto.

Stuart BergmanStuart Bergman
Assistant Chief Economist and Director, Economic and Political Intelligence Centre

Stuart Bergman has been the Assistant Chief Economist and Director of Export Development Canada's (EDC) Economic and Political Intelligence Centre since March, 2011. Prior to that, he was the Director of EDC's Economic Analysis and Forecasting unit. In his role, Mr. Bergman provides leadership and direction for a group of diverse and highly-specialized economists, political risk analysts and intelligence professionals, advising EDC business teams and senior management on transaction and portfolio risk mitigation, corporate planning and business development activities. He also serves as EDC's representative at national and international economic forums, delivers media interviews and is a featured speaker at conferences across Canada and around the world.

Mr. Bergman completed his graduate studies in International Economics and International Relations at the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies.


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