EDC’s Country Risk Quarterly, an interactive tool, offers timely information on 50 countries and allows you to stay on top of country risk, including leveraging high-frequency data such as fluctuations in the stock market, exchange rates and bond spreads.



Top 3 country risk findings:

1. The conflict in Ukraine is directly impacting country risk, including a heightened political violence risk in Eastern Europe. Higher food and energy prices are also driving the risk of increased social unrest in emerging markets that depend on these imports.

2. Sovereigns, many of which are already feeling the impact of increased public debt from the pandemic, are now facing additional shocks from rising interest rates, slowing global growth and the conflict in Ukraine. This is pushing more countries into debt distress and could drive further rating downgrades this year as the impacts of these various shocks are fully taken into account. 

3. While some of the challenges countries are facing are cyclical, such as higher commodity prices and exchange rate volatility, others are more structural in nature and affect long-term economic competitiveness.


 

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