EDC Trade Confidence Index shows exporters navigating uncertainty
Survey hits near-record low as Canadian exporters adapt to global pressures
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Survey hits near-record low as Canadian exporters adapt to global pressures
Export Development Canada’s Trade Confidence Index (TCI) has dropped to one of its lowest levels on record, even as Canadian exporters pursue new markets to manage rising uncertainty. The latest survey reflects growing concern amid escalating global trade headwinds, while also highlighting a more targeted approach to diversification.
Since 1999, EDC has surveyed Canadian exporters and ready-to-export businesses twice annually to capture timely, forward-looking insights not found in traditional trade statistics. The TCI captures the perspectives of more than 1,000 companies on their international strategies, expectations and challenges.
In this round, 1,073 respondents participated between May 30 and July 13, 2025. The TCI score—based on responses from 688 exporters—dropped by 3.3 points from year-end 2024 and sits 6.8 points below the historical average, landing at 65.7. This is one of the lowest readings on record, with the index falling below this level only during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic and the post-pandemic inflation surge.
Despite the challenges, Canadian exporters are adapting. Strategies include:
From a trade diversification perspective, the use of free trade agreements (FTA) by exporting respondents appears to be uneven. The results suggest significant opportunity to increase FTA utilization among qualifying exporters:
Canadian exporters are navigating a complex trade environment, including the impact of tariffs and evolving global dynamics. As they manage risk and build resilience amid ongoing disruptions, EDC is here to support Canadian businesses.
Discover how exporters are responding to rising costs, cash flow challenges and declining U.S. orders. EDC’s latest Trade Confidence Index reveals one of the lowest scores on record—find out what’s driving the decline and how companies are adapting through diversification and strategic shifts.