Export Development Canada’s Trade Confidence Index (TCI) captures the perspectives of more than 900 Canadian exporters a year and reveals information not readily available in traditional trade statistics. The biannual index showcases the concerns and expectations of Canadian companies for the future, and their evolving international strategies. EDC has conducted this survey since 1999.


Overall outlook: The TCI’s five key findings

1. Canadian trade confidence remains above pre-pandemic levels and the survey’s historical average

Trade confidence is at 76.9




2. Confidence is high when it comes to export and domestic sales

Respondents’ outlook on export and domestic sales continued to be optimistic, building on the strength of recovery from earlier in 2021. The large majority expect sales to increase over the next six months.

Outlook for export sales, 78%, domestic sales, 63%





3. Supply chain issues and difficulties accessing skilled labour are impacting exporters’ recovery efforts

Survey respondents cited these challenges among their Top 5 most significant issues impacting their ability to keep and grow their international business.

29% of respondents struggle with supply chain issues, 26% finding skilled talent





4. Canadian companies are facing increased trade barriers

For those who experienced increased trade barriers, imposed restrictions and supply chain and logistics-related issues were among the top challenges.

Canadian companies are facing increased trade barriers





5. A record-high number of Canadian exporters look to diversify their global footprints, despite the impacts of COVID-19

Female exporter chats to male courier, both masked


Intent to diversify their export markets:

65% of exporters plan to export to new market




Key markets for businesses planning to start exporting

United States 27% United Kingdom 22%  Australia 19% Germany 15% India 14% Spain 14% France 13% Brazil 13% Mexico 12% Japan 12% Netherlands 12%




About EDC’s Trade Confidence Index

This TCI survey was conducted Oct. 5 to Nov. 5, 2021, and released Dec. 16, 2021. Twice a year, EDC surveys Canadian exporters and businesses planning to export. The results are a pulse check of Canadian exporters’ level of confidence and their expectations of international trade opportunities over the next six months.


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