Chicago now finds itself home to more than 400 major corporations, 36 of which are in the Fortune 500. Clearly it’s a place where a lot of key decisions are being made. But will the prosperity this hub of the Midwest has enjoyed continue into the future? It’s a good question, and it depends a lot on the strategic decisions of its business cluster. Without a doubt, the opportunities are evident. The wealthy domestic market is its mainstay, but growth in export markets is much more promising. As Asian per capita incomes rise, consumer tastes are shifting toward higher-valued products. As a gathering-point for a wide array of U.S. goods and services, the Chicago area has the potential to develop into a channel for meeting Asian demand.
The fortunes of the Chicago and Midwest markets are critical for Canada’s export outlook. Illinois is the second-largest initial U.S. destination for Canadian merchandise, or 13% of total traffic, just a hair behind Michigan. Growth is also impressive, especially for a large-volume market: between 2000 and 2018, average annual growth of exports to this state alone reached 6%, well ahead of the U.S. average of just 1.1%. That superior pace was maintained in the past five years, although the growth margin narrowed.
Much of what makes its way from Canada through the Illinois marketplace is oil and gas. As such, it rides the ups and downs of North American prices, and is currently in an excess-supply funk. But peel back the initial layer and there are some pretty dynamic stories to tell. The region is a funnel for Canada’s auto sector, which was the first industrial category to recover from the Great Recession, and remains at elevated U.S. sales levels to date. But growth in these two powerhouses will be limited over the future; what are the areas of greatest growth?